IPSOS Poll: William Ruto Most Likely To Rule Kenya Before Raila Odinga


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An IPSOS poll on Monday has suggested that Deputy President William Ruto is more likely to become President before Raila Odinga.

The random poll of 2,057 Kenyans from the age of 18 upwards was conducted between January 9 to January 26 across 41 counties, both urban and rural.

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Among the people polled, it was revealed that the deputy president would rule Kenya before the 72-year-old former prime minister who is hoping to get elected on his fourth attempt.

Statistics from the poll indicate that 58 percent say Ruto will be President one day, followed by Wiper leader Kalonzo Musyoka – Raila Odinga’s running mate in 2013 – at 56 percent.

ANC leader Mudavadi – 51 percent – comes in third before the ODM chieftain with 50 percent.

On the other hand, 45 percent say Raila will never be president followed by Mudavadi with 40 percent. 38 percent think Kalonzo will fall short of the office while Ruto came in fourth with 37 percent of the pollers thinking he will never be head of state.

The margin-of-error for the IPSOS poll is +/- 2.15, 95 percent confidence level.

In regards to the forthcoming elections, the poll revealed that Jubilee was most popular in Central, Rift Valley and Northeastern Kenya. Cord, on the other hand, takes Western, Nyanza and Coast. The two sides appeared even in Eastern and Nairobi.

Both Jubilee supporters (55 percent) and opposition supporters (22 percent) in the IPSOS poll cited the government’s development record as the reason for their support.

Read Also: IPSOS Faces Barrage Of Attacks For Raila’s Retirement Poll, Offers Explanations

IPSOS chief researcher Tom Wolf said in the briefing on Monday that;

“In partisan terms, while nearly nine out of 10 Jubilee supporters back Uhuru (87 percent), somewhat fewer Cord/NASA supporters back Raila (73 percent), however, given that whereas the former is certainly the Jubilee candidate, the opposition’s candidate remains unknown.”

Wolf revealed that President Kenyatta out scores Raila Odinga on promoting development, promoting the rule of law, uniting Kenyans/fighting tribalism, promoting economic development and reducing inequality.

Raila Odinga is only seen favorable on issues concerning tackling corruption.