The poll named President Uhuru most popular Presidential candidate for 2017 elections…
In a recent poll conducted by the University of Nairobi Professors, President Uhuru Kenyatta emerged the most popular Presidential candidate in the poll…The Nairobi dons said that they would comfortably vote for President Uhuru Kenyatta if elections were held today.
The Poll was sponsored by Cotu Secretary General Francis Atwoli and was executed by the UoN professors. After the poll, President Uhuru got 55.1 percent against 35.1 percent scored by his closest rival, Raila Odinga. This now made Uhuru most popular presidential candidate for the 2017 elections.
On Saturday, at Deputy President William Ruto’s Sugoi home, ANC Leader Musalia Mudavadi was denied the opportunity of being the presidential candidate and spokesman for Luhya community by Bungoma Governor Ken Lusaka and water Cabinet Secretary Eugene Wamalwa; this happened shortly after the survey was released.
The result showed that President Uhuru most popular candidate has a better chance of winning the election without being hit by reelection bid, he scored 50 percent plus one threshold required to avoid a rerun.
Deputy President Ruto and Wiper leader Kalonzo Musyoka, who was Raila’s running mate in 2013, came in third in the poll, with each scoring 2.3 per cent.
“This study set out to analyze Kenya’s political leadership status and outlook focusing on political popularity in Kenya as a whole and Western Kenya in particular,” Atwoli told the Star on Sunday.
On December 21, Ipsos released a poll showing that Uhuru would get 50 percent of the vote while only 22 percent of respondents said they would vote for Raila.
The researchers said almost all respondents had gone through some formal education, with only 0.4 percent without any formal education.
According to the survey, 32.6 percent of the respondents had completed secondary and a further 33 per cent either undertook training after form four or had completed some training after completing form four.
“This shows that the respondents were enlightened,” said the poll, dubbed ‘An Analytical Study of Kenya’s Political Leadership Status and Outlook’.
It was signed by Dr. Fred Jonyo of the Department of Political Science and Public Administration and Prof George Owidhi from the School of Economics.
However, the majority of those interviewed (53.1 percent) said they do not support political realignments while 46.9 percent call for realignments, or parties forming new alliances, ahead of the next polls.
“Those that support realignment do so for the reasons that realignments help strengthen political parties in readiness for elections, unite Kenyans because people from various ethnic groups work together, it’s a normal thing with politicians and it gives all leaders an opportunity to be with whichever party they see fit,” the poll states.
The poll also warns the electorate against realignments, arguing they are tribal and do not unite Kenyans.
It adds those against believing realignments do so to confuse the electorate and serve with self-interests, erode the trust that the electorate has in leaders and create the appetite to waste public resources.
The UoN poll, which was primarily targetted at political popularity in Western Kenya, revealed that Mudavadi was the most preferred candidate among 39 percent of respondents, followed by Kakamega Governor Wycliffe Oparanya and Bungoma Senator Moses Wetang’ula, who tied at 30 percent each for the spokesperson of Western Kenya.
Others mentioned only totaled one percent. They include Vihiga MP Yusuf Chanzu at 1.1 percent against Budalang’i MP Ababu Namwamba, who scored 0.4 percent in the poll.
“Musalia becomes automatically a Presidential candidate and the spokesperson of the Luhya community,” said Atwoli.
Speaking at Bukhungu Stadium, Musalia promised to bring together all communities and unite the country.
“Now that you have given me a new role I will work hard to bring on board Raila and other leaders who have Kenya at heart.”
The study was carried out in 17 major towns in Kenya with a total sample of 530 respondents in the period between July 19 and October 5, 2016.
“The research was conducted professionally, stored in a KCB bank and released at Bukhungu Stadium during the Mulembe Declaration,” said Atwoli.
The researchers said the status of Kenya’s political leadership and its outlook are shaped by various social and economic benefits that the people have either drawn from the political leaders or would wish to gain from them when they take up leadership positions.
Moreover, the majority of Kenyans would wish to elect their political leaders based on their commitment to investing in Infrastructure, Security and Employment Creation.
Atwoli said the study was meant to establish the most popular politician nationally, the most popular political leader in Western Kenya and draw policy recommendations from the study findings.
The study was carried out among 58 per cent youths and 42 percent adults. The researchers said a larger percentage was assigned to the youth because they form the larger size of Kenya’s population as compared to the adults.
A total of 25.7 percent of the youths were up to 25 years of age, while 32.3 percent were between ages 26 and 35.
The majority (25.7 percent) of the adults were young adults and only 3.6 percent were mature adults.
And even though the youths interviewed formed 58 percent of the total sample, the majority of those interviewed (both youths and adults) were married (55 percent), another 32 percent were single, 8 percent widowed and 5 percent separated or divorced.
The study sample was composed of 56 percent male and 44 percent female and was mainly carried out at major market centres and not in homesteads.