An opinion poll, conducted on the potential result of 2017 election featuring President Uhuru vs Raila Odinga, has shown that vast majority of Kenyans view President Uhuru Kenyatta more favourably than opposition leader Raila Odinga.
In the Strategic Africa survey conducted between May 6 and 9 which sampled 1,813 respondents from 31 counties, the sitting president registered net double digit win.
The respondents say they have favourable impressions of president Uhuru with 45.4 per cent of the respondents saying they will vote for him, while 37.1 per cent say they want CORD Principal Raila Odinga as President.
Also, according to the findings of the poll, most MPs, governors and senators would, however, lose their seats. The poll also shows that the seemingly horse race is not only swinging toward the ruling party, but also doing so in a really favourable pace.
This is because most of those who voted Uhuru for president (83 per cent) say they would want Deputy President William Ruto to be his running mate.
Those who would pick Raila would want Wiper leader Kalonzo Musyoka to be his run with him (56.5 per cent). Overall, 2.8 per cent would vote for former Gatanga MP Peter Kenneth as president, followed by current DP William Ruto (2.3 per cent), Kalonzo (1.8 per cent), Amani Coalition leader Musalia Mudavadi (1.5 per cent) and Bungoma Senator Moses Wetang’ula (1.3 per cent).
Another 0.7 per cent would vote for former Gichugu MP Martha Karua as president.
The survey, which is a statistical eye opener, also shows other leaders whom the respondents view as potential candidates for presidency and they include Mombasa Governor Hassan Joho (0.4 per cent), Machakos Governor Alfred Mutua (0.3 per cent) and former Lands Cabinet Secretary Charity Ngilu (0.2 per cent). Some five percent of the respondents are irresolute on their choices.
30 per cent of respondents said they would vote for Kenneth while they said they would want him to pick Karua as his running mate (30 per cent). Those who decisively chose Ruto for the top job would want Kalonzo to be his running mate (24.4 per cent). Those that would choose Kalonzo for president would want him to pick Raila as his running mate (24.2 per cent) with Ngilu coming in as the second option at 15 per cent.
Majority of Kenyans would however not re-elect their MPs, governors and senators if elections were to be called today.
Based on the poll, 56 per cent of respondents would not re-elect their governors, while another 55.1 per cent and 51.7 per cent said their MPs and Senators, respectively, would share the same fate.
Though larger number of the respondents also vote the Jubilee coalition with 48.7 per cent, giving a thumb up to the party, but the result is nearly a dead heat as CORD followed closely at 44.3 per cent.
Amani Coalition supporters account for 2.9 per cent of the respondents, while another 3.5 per cent of those polled wobbled with their answers and another 0.6 per cent said they don’t support any coalition or political party.
Uhuru Vs Raila On Other Issues Wrecking The Country
The survey on the forthcoming horse race also shows that greater number of Kenyans (34.7 per cent) believe President Kenyatta can unite the country compared to Raila who scored 18.6 per cent. But Raila elbows Uhuru in the handling of corruption at 33.3 per cent against Uhuru’s 22.8 per cent.
The CORD leader also scores better than Uhuru in the handling of roads and infrastructure at 39.5 per cent against Uhuru’s 22.5 per cent.
Ruto is rated highest in the management of agriculture with a score of 38.1 per cent above Uhuru (20.7 per cent) and Raila (14.6 per cent).
But in all, the poll shows that if elections were held today, President Uhuru Kenyatta will beat CORD leader Raila Odinga – probably with a slight margin.