Uhuru's New Year Address

IPSOS lead researcher Tom Wolf said, “Uhuru most popular Presidential Candidate is Likely to win if elections were conducted today.”

In a new survey conducted by IPSOS between 17 – 19 December 2016, results show that about 50 percent Kenyans will vote for President Uhuru Kenyatta if elections were held today.

IPSOS lead researcher Tom Wolf said on Wednesday when he released the survey, “more or less the same as the 51 percent we saw for Jubilee, 50 percent said they would vote for the incumbent – Uhuru Kenyatta.” This statement confirms the incumbent President Uhuru most popular Presidential candidate for the upcoming elections.

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Wolf’s statement confirms the incumbent President Uhuru most popular Presidential candidate for the upcoming elections.

He added that 22 percent of Kenyans would vote for CORD leader Raila Odinga while another two percent would elect Wiper Leader Kalonzo Musyoka, while 1 per cent will vote for Amani’s Musalia Mudavadi.

The survey conducted between 17th and 19th of December among 1,000 respondents further shows that Jubilee is the most popular party at 51 percent followed by CORD and its constituent parties at 27 percent.

“On the opposition side, if you add ODM’s 19 percent, CORD alliance 6 percent and 2 percent of Wiper, you get 27 percent, you see the advantage that Jubilee has over CORD of about double, 51 vs 27 percent,” the lead researcher for IPSOS told a news conference.

Whereas there is no one challenging the current President for the nomination within Jubilee for the presidential candidacy, he said:

“We don’t know who the opposition candidate will be or how many they will be. In a way, we are comparing apples with oranges. Once the opposition has announced who their candidates will be, we will have more realistic figures.”

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“Although nearly half of Kenyans identify with Jubilee in one shape or another, there was another shape who named Jubilee Alliance. It seems they are not aware of what happened in Kasarani, so you can actually add the 6 percent of Jubilee Alliance to Jubilee Party and you get the 51 percent.”

ODM was the second most popular party with a wide gap of 19 percent, followed by CORD Alliance at 6 percent and Wiper at 2 percent, giving the opposition 27 percent of support.

Wolf, however, noted that a good number of Kenyans were undecided about their choice of candidates and parties. For party affiliation, 11 percent of Kenyans were undecided, three percent did not support any party while 6 percent declined to respond to the question.

For presidential candidates, 16 percent were undecided and seven percent refused to respond. The research further showed that 50 percent of Kenyans believed that President Kenyatta was sincere with his fight against corruption.

The polls released on Wednesday also found that 51 percent of Kenyans want doctors paid the entire 300 percent pay increase agreed in the 2013 Collective Bargaining Agreement (CBA).

Nairobi, Central and Western regions are the most affected by the strike at 90 per cent, 83 per cent, 80 per cent respectively. Rift Valley came in fourth (79 percent) and Nyanza fifth (76 percent).

There’s more on this news coming soon.